Late here. Came away for an R&R&RS, then four hours later had to move back to help blunt another Russian probe. However, I sense their attacks are becoming a bit frantic, since their rear is becoming more vulnerable with each day.
The last five attacks we have turned back we faced more closely-targeted artillery, and increased tank fire. And, they gained ground. But, their infantry is becoming much more tentative in their approach, falling well behind their armor.
And, their armor is moving too fast to target accurately, and is in a practical sense, being used as mobile, indirect artillery. Armor is outpacing infantry, and infantry is doing a lot of ducking and hiding.
You cannot sustain ground gains without infantry, and they are having problems doing that. Why is this? I think it is the rapidly evolving ability of the Yooks to range killing fire into their rear support elements.
The importance of ample long range kill ability:
It moves the damage line well behind the Russian front line. This not only impedes supply and logistics planning, it gives front-line soldiers a sense of unease that they have a less safe place to retreat to.
This is especially effective against conscripts and contractors. If you can get a mass mental occupation with retreats into troop’s heads, they become less effective in combat.
Any existing buffer zone where manpower, supplies, and vehicles can be moved to the front safely which suddenly or over time becomes a part of the war zone where they can be targeted and killed, reduces effectiveness.
This eases the load on the Ukrainian front, since the probes and attempted flank attacks become more tentative.
A slower moving probe or flank attack can be encircled with fire screens and more accurately targeted by artillery and rocket fire.
So, we will see. The less secure they become in the rear, the better chance we have of splitting their forces on the front and driving a wedge in them, which conceivably could push them into out flank defenses.
We are inflicting heavy losses on them, but a mass kill-off on their front could change the course of their actions in this area.
I am no strategic or tactical genius, but this is my thought process at this time.
Their probes are more like large recons-in-force, with artillery and tank guns. I am not sure if they are laying the artillery behind us to try to cut us off, or their accuracy is off. Tank guns fire right at us, but they move too fast to get accurate shots.
Once they lose infantry support, we have the AT means to thin them out before they pull off a total retreat. They cannot keep doing this. But yes, artillery has slowed except when they use it for direct attack support. But again, we still get shelled regularly.
Any sign of older tanks, like T-62s, instead of newer ones? That might help explain why they can’t hit anything on the move.
They do have some T-62s in-play, but not many that I have seen. We did melt one, along with the occupants.
Tools are getting better. Word is we are getting Stingers here, at least in effective quantities. Will believe it when I see it. Our job seems to be to take at least some of the burnt of their attack capability, and buy time. I get that.
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